What has actually been observed?
Palimpsestus separates structural conformance, controlled behavioral evidence, official-evaluation milestones, null results, and unresolved attribution. A result is not promoted beyond the evidence that warrants it.
ARC-AGI-2
The frozen realization conformed to the extracted semantic and ancestry obligations without modifying C₁. Predictive Fold geometry received confirmatory support.
Null result: no measurable controller endpoint advantage was observed.
Still unresolved: preservation of useful operational horizon under finite budget.
ARC-AGI-3 controlled Crucible
On preregistered official ls20, provenance-faithful recurrence reduced repeated disproven actions from 35/250 in the matched learner to 0/250.
Control: su15 showed no measurable behavioral separation.
Capability boundary: neither architecture achieved level progress in that controlled experiment. Goal-directed utility therefore remains unresolved.
The non-zero score is real. Its ancestry is not yet closed.
An official Kaggle ARC-AGI-3 submission reached COMPLETE status and returned publicScore = 0.08. The sealed record does not yet establish that the score descended specifically from Palimpsestus agent execution on hidden tasks.
Claim boundary
Warranted: a completed official submission returned a non-zero public score of 0.08.
Not yet warranted: “Palimpsestus scored 0.08 on hidden ARC-AGI-3 tasks” or “Palimpsestus solved 8% of ARC-AGI-3.”
The next result must discriminate.
The next major experiment is intended to compare Palimpsestus against Active Inference, NARS/AERA, and a matched conventional learner in environments where the architectures should make different predictions before execution.